Lin says he doesn't believe it is likely that Datun will erupt in his lifetime. He puts the chance of a magmatic event in the next few decades at about 1%, although he warns that a phreatic eruption is much more likely, at 10-20%. While phreatic eruptions do not capture the imagination as much as magma events with their cascades of glowing lava, they can still be deadly. In 2014, a volcano in Japan called Ontake erupted phreatically killing more than 60 people hiking nearby.
